How do conservatives win in CA? by Thomas Cole
Updated: Apr 16
Our OODA loop here. Observe, Orient, Decide, Act June 2022
"In that same election Independents switched to 45% (D) and 54% (R). Creating a 18 point swing to the right, by solid (D) Independents." T Cole
"According to CBS in the 2021 VA Governor election, parents voted 49/51% Youngkin. Voters over 45 years voted 48/52% Youngkin. Independents voted 45/54% Youngkin and white suburban voters voted 37/63% Youngkin. That's the parent vote." T Cole
1) Observe - Cheerful news but none of our SBGOP slate candidates are going to win, big surprise right? We know this because we looked through all the numbers, precinct by precinct and it's simply impossible - in any school district (Santa Ynez excepted) Assembly or congressional district. Not going to happen without a lot of Dems flipping.
2) Orient - The Solution: Our research into how and when Dems or Independents flip to the Right... indicates it's rare. We reviewed and found the VA 2021 Governor race to be very interesting. A rare case where the biggest most powerful Dem in the nation, Governor Terry Mcauliffe said in a debate, " I don't think parents should be involved with what is taught in schools."
The next day 12% of the VA leftists switched sides to conservative businessman Glenn Youngkin. Youngkin won 50.5% to Mcauliffe 48.6%. These are the parent voters. We cannot find any other issues that will flip Dems to the right, not inflation, not borders, not crime, nothing works ... Except the parent vote.
In the 2020 presidential election that seems like so many years ago, Virginia Indy voters voted 57/38% D/R. VA white women voted 54/45% Biden/Trump
In the special governor election in VA 2021 those same voters flipped and voted 57% for conservative business guy and first time candidate Glenn Youngkin.
In that same election Independents switched to 45% (D) and 54% (R). A 9 point swing to the right, by solid (D) Independents. And now white women voted 57% for conservative business guy Youngkin, a 12 point swing to the right.
According to CBS, in the 2021 VA Governor election, parents voted 49/51% Youngkin. Voters over 45 years voted 48/52% Youngkin. Independents voted 45/54% Youngkin and white suburban voters voted 37/63% Youngkin. The Repubs won on nearly all fronts and against the Democrats most vaunted and powerful statesman Terry Mcaluliffe, Hilary Clinton campaign manager and general bigwig of the DNC. This cannot stand, what an embarrassment.
So what happened in this normally 54% Dem 44% Repub state? The left press claimed it was the economy, Russia or sunspots. But what happened was the Democrat candidate spoke truth about Democrat controlled education and people didn't like it.
3) Decide - Is it possible we can take these Youngkin results and recreate them in blue California? Well, think of CA as a giant three way race with 10.5 million Democrats, 4.9 million Ind and 5.1M Republicans. We're convinced we are correct - very convenient: Convinced that our CA and SB county parent voters will only switch to the right on parent issues; not economy, not borders, not Mara Lago and not even gas prices. These are dyed in the wool Dems we are dealing with here. These aunts and uncles and grandparents all count as concerned parent voters who we estimate could be convinced to switch with the right strategy. Our Democrat opponents are on alert not to flap their mouths like Terry MCauliffe. The word is out to Dems, "Don't speak any truth about any topic, especially schools." We need to force the issue on them.
4) Action In CA and SB county, our candidates need to flip 18% at least to win maybe. The action to do this is put Teen Talk, CRT, BLM, Just Communities in the face of parents. Show parents the pornographic images in Teen Talk books in our government school libraries. Some of our local leaders know about this, but we need to physically show the parents the porn books. The left is on high alert to not say a word about this because they saw what happened to Terry Mcauliffe.
Show the Just Communities Oppression Chart used in all our schools to divide and inflame students of color against innocent white kids.
Make the leftist candidates defend and support CRT, BLM,Teen Talk, all of it.
These Dems all sign pledges to the DNC to support and defend these school/parent issues or they loose democrat party funding. We have them in a box. It's time to spring the trap, or as usual, continue to lose.